Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Da Silva B.
45'
Fuentes A.
51'
Silva N.

AI Match Summary

Cusco in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cusco
17%
Draws
70%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.75 per game, Cusco at 0.88.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cusco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cusco Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4:0
May 11, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
1:3
Jul 29, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruidias M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 15 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Deportivo Garcilaso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cusco scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Cusco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Deportivo Garcilaso
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016