Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Estudiantes L.P.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cusco play Estudiantes L.P. in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cusco averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Estudiantes L.P. averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Cusco won 0, Estudiantes L.P. won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Cusco and 1.13 for Estudiantes L.P.. This points to a Estudiantes L.P. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Cusco

30%

Draws

43%

Estudiantes L.P.

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Cusco picked up more points recently compared to Estudiantes L.P..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Cusco Clean Sheet 21%

Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cusco	Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	18
Draws	6	7
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	1.22	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.41	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Apr 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

May 1, 2018 Copa Libertadores

Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Mar 14, 2018 Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. vs Cusco

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Colitto L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 29 / 100

Estudiantes L.P. 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cusco Estudiantes L.P.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estudiantes L.P. or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cusco attacking → ← attacking Estudiantes L.P.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Estudiantes L.P. let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cusco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Estudiantes L.P. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0