Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco

1 - 0

FC Cajamarca

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Timana H.

28'

Fuentes A.

33'

Sub

Peralta S. In: Barcos H.

Out: Peralta S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and FC Cajamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Cusco

39%

Draws

30%

FC Cajamarca

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Cusco haven't matched FC Cajamarca's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Cusco Clean Sheet 16%

FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cusco	FC Cajamarca
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga 1

Cusco vs FC Cajamarca

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 31 / 100

FC Cajamarca 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cusco FC Cajamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Cusco's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Cusco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS FC Cajamarca

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	40
2	Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	33
4	Universitario de Deportes	17	8	5	4	24:15	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	26
8	Alianza Atl.	17	5	6	6	20:18	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	21
10	AD Tarma	17	5	5	7	22:21	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	19
13	Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	18
14	Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	16
18	Juan Pablo II	17	4	4	9	22:40	16