Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cusco host Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sporting Cristal have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Cusco have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Cusco have won 2 to Sporting Cristal's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.81, favoring Sporting Cristal. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cusco
15%
Draws
53%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Cusco haven't matched Sporting Cristal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cusco Clean Sheet 11%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cusco
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cusco
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cusco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 14 / 100
Sporting Cristal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Sporting Cristal has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Cusco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Sporting Cristal
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Cristal

(Away)
11 Oct
Cajamarca
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)