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Customs Utd vs Phrae United Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
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Match Events

66' Event
Moohummard D.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2023/2024 game between Customs Utd and Phrae United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Customs Utd
15%
Draws
49%
Phrae United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Phrae United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Phrae United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Customs Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Customs Utd Phrae United
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Phrae United
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Customs Utd
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Phrae United
3:2
Oct 29, 2022 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Customs Utd
1:0
Feb 11, 2022 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Phrae United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Customs Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Phrae United Compare

Top Goalscorer Moohummard D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Customs Utd 36 / 100
Phrae United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Customs Utd Phrae United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phrae United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Customs Utd scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Phrae United has conceded goals in 71% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Phrae United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Phrae United
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Customs Utd

(Home)
28 Dec
Customs Utd
2 : 3
Sukhothai
21 Dec
Customs Utd
1 : 5
Buriram United F.C.
29 Oct
Customs Utd
3 : 0
Nonthaburi United
27 Apr
Chiangmai United
2 : 0
Customs Utd
19 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 0
Customs Utd
Page 1 of 6

Phrae United

(Away)
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 34 21 10 3 64:27 73
2 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 22 6 6 80:39 72
3 Rayong FC 34 16 12 6 62:34 60
4 Chiangmai FC 34 17 8 9 55:34 59
5 Nakhon Si United 34 16 11 7 60:40 59
6 Ayutthaya United 34 16 9 9 52:36 57
7 Pattaya United 34 15 10 9 45:36 55
8 Lampang F.C. 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
9 Chiangmai United 34 12 13 9 52:41 49
10 Suphanburi FC 34 12 7 15 36:41 43
11 Phrae United 34 11 7 16 37:53 40
12 Chanthaburi 34 9 13 12 44:44 40
13 Kanchanaburi 34 10 8 16 43:52 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
15 Samut Prakan City 34 8 11 15 39:57 35
16 Kasetsart 34 6 4 24 31:84 22
17 Customs Utd 34 4 9 21 26:63 21
18 Krabi 34 3 11 20 23:63 20
Promotion - Thai League 1 2024/2025 (Main)
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