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Cwmamman United vs Pontypridd United

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cwmamman United play Pontypridd United in the Cymru South 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cwmamman United averaged 0.95 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. Pontypridd United averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.49 conceded. In past meetings, Cwmamman United won 1, Pontypridd United won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2020 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Cwmamman United and 1.36 for Pontypridd United. This points to a Pontypridd United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cwmamman United
28%
Draws
49%
Pontypridd United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Cwmamman United picked up more points recently compared to Pontypridd United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Cwmamman United Clean Sheet 18%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmamman United Pontypridd United
Matches Played 22 37
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.95 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.49

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Cwmamman United
1:1
Oct 29, 2019 Cymru South
Cwmamman United vs Pontypridd United
0:2
Jan 26, 2019 Division 1
Pontypridd United vs Cwmamman United
1:1
Oct 6, 2018 Division 1
Cwmamman United vs Pontypridd United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cwmamman United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pontypridd United Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldock L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maxi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmamman United 24 / 100
Pontypridd United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmamman United Pontypridd United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pontypridd United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cwmamman United attacking → ← attacking Pontypridd United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmamman United scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Pontypridd United let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cwmamman United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pontypridd United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pure Swansea25175356:3156
2Haverfordwest25174458:2655
3Briton Ferry24152765:3647
4Cambrian United23117541:3140
5Llanelli261241047:5140
6STM Sports22123751:3439
7Ammanford Town251211244:4737
8Goytre Utd25106940:4136
9Pontypridd United2598852:4135
10Afan Lido251041147:4734
11Llantwit Major24761134:3927
12Undy21721229:3823
13Cwmbran Celtic22641229:4422
14Taffs Well25631640:6421
15Cwmamman United22521522:5517
16Caerau Ely21151522:528