Sport Picks
Cwmbran Celtic vs Cambrian United
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
33'
33'
Maidment E.
40'
40'
Fox J.
51'
51'
Allen J.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Cwmbran Celtic and Cambrian United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambrian United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cambrian United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cambrian United's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cambrian United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cwmbran Celtic | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.26 | 2.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Cambrian United
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Cwmbran Celtic
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Cwmbran Celtic
5:0
Jul 27, 2024 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Cambrian United
1:3
Dec 29, 2023 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Maidment E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fox J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.28
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cwmbran Celtic 18 / 100
Cambrian United 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cwmbran Celtic Cambrian United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cambrian United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Cwmbran Celtic scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Cambrian United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Cwmbran Celtic has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cwmbran Celtic VS Cambrian United
1.4 Goals Scored 1.63
3.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cwmbran Celtic
(Home) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
17 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
2 : 5 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Cambrian United
(Away) 18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
21 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
