Sport Picks
Cwmbran Celtic vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Wales
Cymru South 2024/2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Davies B.
42'
42'
van Dieren M.
54'
54'
Andrews M.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Cwmbran Celtic and Penrhiwceiber Rangers finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Penrhiwceiber Rangers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Cwmbran Celtic have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 14%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cwmbran Celtic | Penrhiwceiber Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 3 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Cymru South
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:1
Apr 27, 2011 Division 1
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:5
Mar 18, 2011 Division 1
Cwmbran Celtic vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer van Dieren M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cwmbran Celtic Penrhiwceiber Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cwmbran Celtic scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Penrhiwceiber Rangers conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Cwmbran Celtic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cwmbran Celtic VS Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cwmbran Celtic
(Home) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
17 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
2 : 5 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
(Away) 22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3 Gresford
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0 Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3 Newport City
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
27 Jun
Caerau Ely
4 : 1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
12 Apr
Carmarthen Town
5 : 5 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
28 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanelli | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64:25 | 64 |
| 2 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Newport City | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 4 | Trefelin | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54:41 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Cambrian United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 50:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 55:44 | 45 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44:34 | 43 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:34 | 43 |
| 10 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 47:50 | 36 |
| 11 | Afan Lido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 44:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 42:43 | 32 |
| 13 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:62 | 30 |
| 14 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 30:57 | 28 |
| 15 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 41:72 | 23 |
| 16 | Taffs Well | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 32:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)