Sport Picks
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Hutson C.
27'
27'
Tedstone G.
45'
45'
Tedstone G.
AI Match Summary
Pontypridd United in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontypridd United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontypridd United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pontypridd United lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
- Win probability leans Pontypridd United's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pontypridd United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cwmbran Celtic | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontypridd United
2:5
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Cwmbran Celtic
7:0
Jul 18, 2025 League Cup
Pontypridd United vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Pontypridd United
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Fletcher E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berry O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Tedstone G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hutson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
Pontypridd United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cwmbran Celtic Pontypridd United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Cwmbran Celtic scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Pontypridd United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Cwmbran Celtic has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cwmbran Celtic VS Pontypridd United
1 Goals Scored 2
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cwmbran Celtic
(Home) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
17 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
2 : 5 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Pontypridd United
(Away) 25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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