Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Brock T.
15'
15'
Brock T.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
McDowell A.
AI Match Summary
Trefelin in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cwmbran Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Trefelin lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
- Model gives Cwmbran Celtic a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- Trefelin have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cwmbran Celtic | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 1 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.58 | 3.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin
1:8
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic
4:0
Jan 17, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin
3:4
Aug 10, 2024 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer McDowell A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Brock T.
4 Goals Assists Leader Jones J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cwmbran Celtic 34 / 100
Trefelin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cwmbran Celtic Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Cwmbran Celtic scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Trefelin registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Trefelin let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cwmbran Celtic VS Trefelin
1.17 Goals Scored 3.5
2.83 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Cwmbran Celtic
(Home) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
17 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
2 : 5 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Trefelin
(Away) 31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
07 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 4 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Trefelin
25 Jul
Bromsgrove
8 : 0 Trefelin
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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