Sport Picks

World

Club Friendly 2011

Aberaman

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cwmbran Town play Aberaman in the Club Friendly 2011. Aberaman are favorites here. Recently, Cwmbran Town averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Aberaman averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Cwmbran Town won 0, Aberaman won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2011 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Cwmbran Town and 2.81 for Aberaman. This points to a Aberaman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Cwmbran Town

18%

Draws

62%

Aberaman

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Aberaman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Cwmbran Town picked up more points recently compared to Aberaman.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 10%

Aberaman Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cwmbran Town	Aberaman
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	9
Draws	2	9
Losses	23	12
Goals Scored	1.13	1.6
Goals Conceded	2.7	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2011 Club Friendly

Cwmbran Town vs Aberaman

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Town 20 / 100

Aberaman 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cwmbran Town Aberaman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberaman Win (2)

Secondary Pick Aberaman & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cwmbran Town attacking → ← attacking Aberaman

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Town scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Aberaman let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cwmbran Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aberaman lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 36

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88