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Cynthialbalonga vs Porto Sant'Elpidio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Magliocchetti M.
54' Event
Magliocchetti M.
70' Event
Vitali M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Cynthialbalonga and Porto Sant'Elpidio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cynthialbalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cynthialbalonga
30%
Draws
41%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cynthialbalonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cynthialbalonga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga Porto Sant'Elpidio
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
2:1
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Cynthialbalonga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Magliocchetti M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 42 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga Porto Sant'Elpidio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Sant'Elpidio has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cynthialbalonga scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Cynthialbalonga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cynthialbalonga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
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Porto Sant'Elpidio

(Away)
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2
Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)