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Cyprus vs Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Cyprus Logo

Cyprus

2 - 0
FT
Armenia Logo

Armenia

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Konomis L.
26'
Sevikyan E.
31' Event
Kakoullis A.
Assist: Pittas I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cyprus
30%
Draws
23%
Armenia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Armenia haven't matched Cyprus's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cyprus taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%
Armenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cyprus Armenia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Armenia
2:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Armenia vs Cyprus
2:2
Nov 13, 2017 Friendly International
Armenia vs Cyprus
3:2
Sep 8, 2007 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Armenia
3:1
Mar 1, 2006 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Armenia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Konomis L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kakoullis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Armenia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cyprus 77 / 100
Armenia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cyprus Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armenia let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cyprus scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Cyprus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cyprus VS Armenia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cyprus

(Home)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
Page 1 of 6

Armenia

(Away)
05 Oct
Montenegro
0 : 0
Armenia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)