Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Muriqi V.
(Penalty)
21'
21'
Muriqi V.
Assist: Rrudhani D.
36'
36'
Tzionis M.
AI Match Summary
Kosovo in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kosovo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Kosovo have won more games recently than Cyprus.
- Model gives Kosovo a 40% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kosovo here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 16%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cyprus | Kosovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Cyprus
3:0
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Kosovo
0:4
Sep 27, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Cyprus
5:1
Jun 2, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Kosovo
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cyprus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Kosovo Compare
Top Goalscorer Muriqi V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rrahmani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cyprus 23 / 100
Kosovo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cyprus Kosovo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kosovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Cyprus scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Kosovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Cyprus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cyprus VS Kosovo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cyprus
(Home) 07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2 Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2 Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
15 Nov
Cyprus
0 : 2 Austria
09 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 3
Kosovo
(Away) 07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0 Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1 Kosovo
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1 Turkey
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4 Kosovo
18 Nov
Kosovo
1 : 1 Switzerland
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1 Kosovo
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4 Kosovo
15 Nov
Slovenia
0 : 2 Kosovo
13 Oct
Sweden
0 : 1 Kosovo
05 Sept
Switzerland
4 : 0 Kosovo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
