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Cyprus vs Latvia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Cyprus Logo

Cyprus

2 - 1
FT
Latvia Logo

Latvia

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Jurkovskis R.
46'
Sub
Vapne L. In: Cudars K.
Out: Vapne L.
46'
Sub
Strods M. In: Patijcuks D.
Out: Strods M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cyprus
20%
Draws
7%
Latvia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cyprus lately — more wins on the board than Latvia.
  • Win probability leans Cyprus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%
Latvia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cyprus Latvia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.32 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Latvia
2:1
Sep 28, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Cyprus
0:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
1:1
Feb 14, 1997 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
2:0
Mar 12, 1996 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosti I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Latvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Daskevics E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cyprus 95 / 100
Latvia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cyprus Latvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cyprus scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Latvia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cyprus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cyprus VS Latvia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cyprus

(Home)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
Page 1 of 6

Latvia

(Away)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)