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Czarni Polaniec vs LKS Lagow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Sat, Mar 25, 2023
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Czarni Polaniec play LKS Lagow in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Czarni Polaniec averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. LKS Lagow averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Czarni Polaniec won 1, LKS Lagow won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Czarni Polaniec and 0.81 for LKS Lagow. This points to a Czarni Polaniec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Czarni Polaniec
6%
Draws
4%
LKS Lagow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to LKS Lagow.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Czarni Polaniec.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 20%
LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec LKS Lagow
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs LKS Lagow
3:0
Aug 21, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Czarni Polaniec
3:0
Nov 20, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Czarni Polaniec
3:0
Aug 7, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs LKS Lagow
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 85 / 100
LKS Lagow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec LKS Lagow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

LKS Lagow let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Czarni Polaniec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

LKS Lagow lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stal Stalowa Wola34235672:2774
2Avia Swidnik341911458:2668
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34207775:3567
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341771061:3658
5Biala Podlaska341413763:4255
6Cracovia II341661269:4854
7Wisloka Debica341571254:4652
8Sokol Sieniawa341461457:6548
9Czarni Polaniec341521747:5847
10Podhale Nowy Targ341361559:4745
11Orleta Radzyn341341744:6343
12Chelmianka Chelm3410101445:4740
13Unia Tarnow3410101443:6640
14Wiazownica341171649:5940
15Korona Kielce II341091563:5839
16Sandomierz34762140:9127
17Lublinianka34722543:9223
18LKS Lagow341141927:6337