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Czarni Polaniec vs Naprzod Jedrzejow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dzikowski S.
6' Event
Stanek K.
30' Event
Jaszczak J.

AI Match Summary

Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Czarni Polaniec
20%
Draws
60%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Czarni Polaniec lately — more wins on the board than Naprzod Jedrzejow.
  • Model gives Czarni Polaniec a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec Naprzod Jedrzejow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:5
Mar 25, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Czarni Polaniec
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Czarni Polaniec vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzikowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaszczak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 40 / 100
Naprzod Jedrzejow 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec Naprzod Jedrzejow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Naprzod Jedrzejow conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Czarni Polaniec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS Naprzod Jedrzejow
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Polaniec

(Home)
11 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
1 : 0
Czarni Polaniec
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6

Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Away)
11 Oct
Naprzod Jedrzejow
1 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)