Sport Picks
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
59'
59'
Dzikowski S.
61'
61'
Bawor D.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Czarni Polaniec and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Czarni Polaniec haven't matched Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 13%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Czarni Polaniec | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Dzikowski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Czarni Polaniec 30 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Czarni Polaniec Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Czarni Polaniec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Czarni Polaniec scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Czarni Polaniec went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Czarni Polaniec VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Czarni Polaniec
(Home) 03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
02 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Page 1 of 3
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away) 10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0 Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
30 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
19 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
2 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
