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Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sudy M.
47' Event
Kardys K.
49' Event
Kardys K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 game between Czarni Polaniec and Sandomierz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Polaniec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Czarni Polaniec
6%
Draws
4%
Sandomierz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Czarni Polaniec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Czarni Polaniec have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 20%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec Sandomierz
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 21 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz
2:1
Aug 14, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
0:1
May 29, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
3:4
Oct 23, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardys K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sudy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 85 / 100
Sandomierz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec Sandomierz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Sandomierz let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sandomierz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Polaniec

(Home)
24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0
Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3
Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 8

Sandomierz

(Away)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stal Stalowa Wola34235672:2774
2Avia Swidnik341911458:2668
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34207775:3567
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341771061:3658
5Biala Podlaska341413763:4255
6Cracovia II341661269:4854
7Wisloka Debica341571254:4652
8Sokol Sieniawa341461457:6548
9Czarni Polaniec341521747:5847
10Podhale Nowy Targ341361559:4745
11Orleta Radzyn341341744:6343
12Chelmianka Chelm3410101445:4740
13Unia Tarnow3410101443:6640
14Wiazownica341171649:5940
15Korona Kielce II341091563:5839
16Sandomierz34762140:9127
17Lublinianka34722543:9223
18LKS Lagow341141927:6337
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)