Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sudy M.
47' Event
Kardys K.
49' Event
Kardys K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 game between Czarni Polaniec and Sandomierz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Polaniec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Czarni Polaniec
20%
Draws
23%
Sandomierz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Czarni Polaniec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Czarni Polaniec have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 18%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec Sandomierz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz
2:1
Aug 14, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
0:1
May 29, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
3:4
Oct 23, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sandomierz
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardys K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sudy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 85 / 100
Sandomierz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec Sandomierz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Czarni Polaniec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Sandomierz let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Czarni Polaniec stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Polaniec

(Home)
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
28 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
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Sandomierz

(Away)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 23 5 6 72:27 74
2 Avia Swidnik 34 19 11 4 58:26 68
3 KS Wieczysta Krakow 34 20 7 7 75:35 67
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 17 7 10 61:36 58
5 Biala Podlaska 34 14 13 7 63:42 55
6 Cracovia II 34 16 6 12 69:48 54
7 Wisloka Debica 34 15 7 12 54:46 52
8 Sokol Sieniawa 34 14 6 14 57:65 48
9 Czarni Polaniec 34 15 2 17 47:58 47
10 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 6 15 59:47 45
11 Orleta Radzyn 34 13 4 17 44:63 43
12 Chelmianka Chelm 34 10 10 14 45:47 40
13 Unia Tarnow 34 10 10 14 43:66 40
14 Wiazownica 34 11 7 16 49:59 40
15 Korona Kielce II 34 10 9 15 63:58 39
16 Sandomierz 34 7 6 21 40:91 27
17 Lublinianka 34 7 2 25 43:92 23
18 LKS Lagow 34 11 4 19 27:63 37
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)