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Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Czarni Sosnowiec W host Pogon Szczecin W in the Ekstraliga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Czarni Sosnowiec W have averaged 2.94 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against Pogon Szczecin W's 3.1 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Czarni Sosnowiec W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.74 vs 1.96, favoring Czarni Sosnowiec W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
15%
Draws
40%
Pogon Szczecin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won more games recently than Pogon Szczecin W.
  • Model gives Pogon Szczecin W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Szczecin W
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 26 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.94 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.74 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
May 17, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Sosnowiec W 22 / 100
Pogon Szczecin W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Szczecin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Sosnowiec W found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Czarni Sosnowiec W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Sosnowiec W VS Pogon Szczecin W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Sosnowiec W

(Home)
21 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw W
4 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
17 Oct
Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 : 1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
04 Oct
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
30 Sept
Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 : 0
Breidablik W
27 Sept
Czarni Sosnowiec W
2 : 0
UJ Krakow W
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Pogon Szczecin W

(Away)
17 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
04 Oct
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
26 Sept
UKS SMS Lodz W
0 : 2
Pogon Szczecin W
29 Aug
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin W
22 Aug
Pogon Szczecin W
5 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
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