Sport Picks
Czech Republic vs Croatia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Fortuna Arena, Prague 
Match Events
36'
36'
Cerv L.
47'
47'
Modric L.
Assist: Matanovic I.
54'
54'
Karabec A.
Assist: Hlozek A.
AI Match Summary
Croatia in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Czech Republic.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 15%
Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Czech Republic | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Croatia
1:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Czech Republic vs Croatia
0:0
Jun 9, 2025 World Championship
Croatia vs Czech Republic
5:1
Jun 18, 2021 Euro
Croatia vs Czech Republic
1:1
Jun 17, 2016 Euro
Czech Republic vs Croatia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Czech Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Karabec A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Croatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Modric L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pasalic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Czech Republic 31 / 100
Croatia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Czech Republic Croatia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Croatia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Czech Republic scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Croatia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Croatia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Czech Republic VS Croatia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Czech Republic
(Home) 06 Oct
England
3 : 0 Czech Republic
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2 England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2 Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2 England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2 Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3 Mexico
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1 South Africa
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1 Guatemala
Page 1 of 4
Croatia
(Away) 06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2 Spain
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7 England
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1 Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2 Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1 Croatia
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1 Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2 Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1 Croatia
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1 Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2 Croatia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
