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Czech Republic vs Spain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League epet ARENA, Prague
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Czech Republic host Spain in the UEFA Nations League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Czech Republic at 1.63 goals for, 1.41 against; Spain at 2.47 for, 0.81 against. Head-to-head, Czech Republic have won 0 to Spain's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.56 - 2.06) back Spain to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Czech Republic
15%
Draws
85%
Spain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain lately — more wins on the board than Czech Republic.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Spain Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czech Republic Spain
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 26
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.63 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Czech Republic
3:1
Jun 12, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Czech Republic
2:0
Jun 5, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Spain
2:2
Jun 13, 2016 Euro
Spain vs Czech Republic
1:0
Oct 7, 2011 Euro
Czech Republic vs Spain
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czech Republic 10 / 100
Spain 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czech Republic Spain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Czech Republic scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Spain has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Czech Republic VS Spain
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Czech Republic

(Home)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1
Czech Republic
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

Spain

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1
Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)