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D. Bryansk vs Alania Vladikavkaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division A Gold Dynamo Stadium, Bryansk
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Matyushenko I.
45' Event
Abdulkhamidov M.
46'
Sub
Novikov A. In: Konoplev D.
Out: Novikov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between D. Bryansk and Alania Vladikavkaz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alania Vladikavkaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
D. Bryansk
35%
Draws
40%
Alania Vladikavkaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz haven't matched D. Bryansk's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 20%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Bryansk Alania Vladikavkaz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs D. Bryansk
0:2
Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
D. Bryansk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:4
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Alania Vladikavkaz vs D. Bryansk
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2
Mar 10, 2021 FNL
D. Bryansk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Bryansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyushenko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulkhamidov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Bryansk 32 / 100
Alania Vladikavkaz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Bryansk Alania Vladikavkaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D. Bryansk scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Alania Vladikavkaz has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

D. Bryansk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

D. Bryansk VS Alania Vladikavkaz
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Bryansk

(Home)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2
D. Bryansk
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Alania Vladikavkaz

(Away)
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)