Sport Picks

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción

D. Concepcion

2 - 0

D. Puerto Montt

Our Tip

Match Events

Carrasco D.

38'

Jaime J.

46'

Sub

Carrasco D. In: Grillo F.

Out: Carrasco D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

D. Concepcion

15%

Draws

26%

D. Puerto Montt

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

D. Concepcion have won more games recently than D. Puerto Montt.
59% — that's where the model lands on D. Concepcion taking it.
D. Concepcion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor D. Concepcion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 20%

D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	D. Concepcion	D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.38	0.93
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

2:0

Jun 29, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

2:0

Aug 11, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

1:0

Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

1:1

Apr 9, 2016 Liga de Ascenso

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Grillo F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Espinoza E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Concepcion 76 / 100

D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

D. Concepcion D. Puerto Montt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Concepcion's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

D. Puerto Montt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

D. Concepcion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: D. Puerto Montt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D. Concepcion VS D. Puerto Montt

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 100%

13% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Concepcion

(Home)

30 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

O Higgins

27 Sept

D. Concepcion

2 : 0

Curico Unido

23 Sept

Curico Unido

0 : 4

D. Concepcion

13 Sept

Colo Colo

1 : 1

D. Concepcion

05 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

A. Italiano

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D. Puerto Montt

(Away)

29 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

0 : 1

Colo Colo

26 Sept

Nublense

2 : 1

D. Puerto Montt

22 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 0

Nublense

13 Sept

Magallanes

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

08 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

1 : 2

Rangers

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