Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Temuco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

D. Concepcion play Deportes Temuco in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, D. Concepcion averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Deportes Temuco averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, D. Concepcion won 1, Deportes Temuco won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for D. Concepcion and 1.69 for Deportes Temuco. This points to a Deportes Temuco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

D. Concepcion

34%

Draws

35%

Deportes Temuco

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Deportes Temuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

D. Concepcion picked up more points recently compared to Deportes Temuco.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 13%

Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	D. Concepcion	Deportes Temuco
Matches Played	39	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	9	12
Losses	19	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.56	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile

Deportes Temuco vs D. Concepcion

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jul 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

Deportes Temuco vs D. Concepcion

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Feb 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

D. Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Mar 27, 2016 Liga de Ascenso

D. Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Oct 25, 2015 Liga de Ascenso

Deportes Temuco vs D. Concepcion

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Concepcion 31 / 100

Deportes Temuco 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

D. Concepcion Deportes Temuco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportes Temuco or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

D. Concepcion attacking → ← attacking Deportes Temuco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Concepcion scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Deportes Temuco let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

D. Concepcion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Temuco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 36

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Iquique	4	2	1	1	8:4	7
2	Coquimbo	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
3	Limache	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	San Marcos de Arica	4	0	1	3	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
2	Everton	4	1	1	2	7:7	4
3	Copiapo	4	1	1	2	2:7	4
4	San Luis	4	0	2	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	4	3	1	0	7:3	10
2	Cobreloa	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
3	La Serena	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Cobresal	3	0	1	2	0:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Chile	3	2	1	0	9:4	7
2	San Felipe	4	2	0	2	5:6	6
3	Union La Calera	3	1	1	1	7:5	4
4	S. Wanderers	4	1	0	3	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	3	3	0	0	9:2	9
2	U. Espanola	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
3	Recoleta	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
4	O Higgins	3	0	2	1	4:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curico Unido	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
2	Nublense	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Rangers	4	2	0	2	4:4	6
4	U. De Concepcion	3	0	1	2	5:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	4	3	1	0	7:2	10
2	A. Italiano	4	3	0	1	7:5	9
3	Palestino	4	1	1	2	7:6	4
4	Magallanes	4	0	0	4	4:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	4	2	1	1	6:3	7
2	Deportes Temuco	4	1	2	1	4:5	5
3	D. Concepcion	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Huachipato	3	1	0	2	4:5	3