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D. Concepcion vs O Higgins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
D. Concepcion Logo

D. Concepcion

0 - 1
FT
O Higgins Logo

O Higgins

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Montecinos J.
45'
Castillo A.
46'
Sub
Fuentes N. In: Davila Carvajal M.
Out: Fuentes N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
D. Concepcion
15%
Draws
54%
O Higgins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Higgins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and D. Concepcion come out ahead of O Higgins on wins alone.
  • D. Concepcion are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • D. Concepcion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor O Higgins, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Concepcion O Higgins
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Copa Chile
O Higgins vs D. Concepcion
2:0
Sep 30, 2026 Copa Chile
D. Concepcion vs O Higgins
0:1
Jul 27, 2026 Liga de Primera
D. Concepcion vs O Higgins
2:0
Feb 2, 2026 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs D. Concepcion
2:1
Jul 19, 2008 Liga de Primera
D. Concepcion vs O Higgins
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Concepcion 50 / 100
O Higgins 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Concepcion O Higgins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Higgins has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: D. Concepcion scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: D. Concepcion remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D. Concepcion VS O Higgins
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Concepcion

(Home)
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

O Higgins

(Away)
10 Oct
Huachipato
2 : 0
O Higgins
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -