Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dachau vs Heimstetten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Haist J.
82' Event
Kosuch M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 game between Dachau and Heimstetten finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dachau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Dachau
20%
Draws
70%
Heimstetten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heimstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Heimstetten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heimstetten a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Heimstetten have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dachau Clean Sheet 16%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dachau Heimstetten
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.27 2
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Heimstetten
2:0
Oct 10, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Dachau
3:2
Aug 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Heimstetten vs Dachau
3:2
Feb 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Heimstetten vs Dachau
2:0
Feb 18, 2019 Club Friendly
Heimstetten vs Dachau
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dachau Compare

Top Goalscorer Haist J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Heimstetten Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dachau 11 / 100
Heimstetten 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dachau Heimstetten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dachau's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Heimstetten let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Dachau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Heimstetten
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dachau

(Home)
31 Jan
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 1
Dachau
01 Feb
Turkgucu Munchen
5 : 0
Dachau
03 Jul
Turkgucu Munchen
3 : 1
Dachau
25 May
Dachau
1 : 2
Gundelfingen
22 May
Gundelfingen
2 : 2
Dachau
Page 1 of 6

Heimstetten

(Away)
21 Aug
Heimstetten
0 : 4
Hankofen-Hailing
14 Aug
Heimstetten
1 : 0
Schalding
08 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
1 : 3
Heimstetten
31 Jul
Heimstetten
1 : 1
Geretsried
24 Jul
Heimstetten
1 : 2
FC Schwaig
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Erlbach 34 21 6 7 50:28 69
2 Heimstetten 34 21 5 8 64:37 68
3 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 20 7 7 76:35 67
4 Landsberg 34 21 3 10 86:52 66
5 Deisenhofen 34 18 9 7 68:37 63
6 Nordlingen 34 17 7 10 66:50 58
7 Munich 1860 II 34 16 7 11 62:49 55
8 Pipinsried 34 12 11 11 47:41 47
9 Kottern-St. Mang 34 12 11 11 59:53 47
10 Sonthofen 34 13 6 15 53:50 45
11 Rain/Lech 34 13 5 16 43:54 44
12 Kirchanschoring 34 12 7 15 38:49 43
13 Ismaning 34 12 7 15 44:62 43
14 Dachau 34 12 5 17 53:69 41
15 Gundelfingen 34 10 5 19 40:57 35
16 Turkspor Augsburg 34 6 11 17 29:52 29
17 Garching 34 6 4 24 37:86 22
18 Kirchheimer 34 3 6 25 38:92 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Relegation)