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Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Joma Arena, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Cucer D.
22'
Andreiciu D.
30' Event
Nkalle Y.

AI Match Summary

Politehnica UTM in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dacia Buiucani
30%
Draws
23%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dacia Buiucani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Politehnica UTM lately — more wins on the board than Dacia Buiucani.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Dacia Buiucani taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 13%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dacia Buiucani Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
1:5
Nov 1, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Jul 12, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dacia Buiucani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurgurov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkalle Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gandi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Buiucani 48 / 100
Politehnica UTM 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dacia Buiucani Politehnica UTM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dacia Buiucani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica UTM let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Dacia Buiucani's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dacia Buiucani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dacia Buiucani VS Politehnica UTM
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dacia Buiucani

(Home)
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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Politehnica UTM

(Away)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)