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Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Joma Arena
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dacia Buiucani host Politehnica UTM in the Super Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Dacia Buiucani at 1 goals for, 1.63 against; Politehnica UTM at 1.88 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Dacia Buiucani have won 2 to Politehnica UTM's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.75, favoring Politehnica UTM. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dacia Buiucani
33%
Draws
27%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dacia Buiucani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Politehnica UTM lately — more wins on the board than Dacia Buiucani.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dacia Buiucani taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dacia Buiucani have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 12%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dacia Buiucani Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Jul 12, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Buiucani 38 / 100
Politehnica UTM 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dacia Buiucani Politehnica UTM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica UTM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Dacia Buiucani's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dacia Buiucani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dacia Buiucani VS Politehnica UTM
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti32108:27
2Sheriff Tiraspol32107:27
3Dacia Buiucani32015:26
4Zimbru Chisinau31115:44
5CSF Balti31114:44
6Politehnica UTM31112:44
7Milsami30120:61
8Real Sireti30031:80