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Dacia Buiucani vs Stauceni Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Joma Arena, Chişinău
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Match Events

45' Event
Dumbrava V.

AI Match Summary

Dacia Buiucani in this Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dacia Buiucani
20%
Draws
42%
Stauceni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stauceni lately — more wins on the board than Dacia Buiucani.
  • Model gives Dacia Buiucani a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Stauceni arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dacia Buiucani, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dacia Buiucani here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 13%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dacia Buiucani Stauceni
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.19 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Dacia Buiucani vs Stauceni
1:0
May 3, 2025 Super Liga
Stauceni vs Dacia Buiucani
0:6
Mar 28, 2025 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Stauceni
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dacia Buiucani Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumbrava V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Stauceni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Buiucani 39 / 100
Stauceni 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dacia Buiucani Stauceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dacia Buiucani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dacia Buiucani found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Stauceni has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Dacia Buiucani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dacia Buiucani VS Stauceni
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dacia Buiucani

(Home)
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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Stauceni

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0