Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2008/2009

Fortuna Covaci

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dacia Orastie play Fortuna Covaci in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dacia Orastie averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Fortuna Covaci averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Dacia Orastie won 0, Fortuna Covaci won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2009 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Dacia Orastie and 1.11 for Fortuna Covaci. This points to a Fortuna Covaci double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Dacia Orastie

18%

Draws

46%

Fortuna Covaci

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Fortuna Covaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Dacia Orastie picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Covaci.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Dacia Orastie Clean Sheet 21%

Fortuna Covaci Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dacia Orastie	Fortuna Covaci
Matches Played	30	45
Wins	10	17
Draws	5	8
Losses	15	20
Goals Scored	1.27	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Dacia Orastie vs Fortuna Covaci

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Aug 22, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Fortuna Covaci vs Dacia Orastie

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Orastie 37 / 100

Fortuna Covaci 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dacia Orastie Fortuna Covaci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Covaci or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dacia Orastie attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Covaci

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dacia Orastie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Covaci let in goals in 71% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dacia Orastie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Covaci lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 59

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fortuna Covaci	30	18	7	5	63:24	61
2	Ineu	30	17	6	7	45:34	57
3	Minerul Mehedinti	30	15	11	4	57:32	56
4	Viitorul Sanandrei	30	13	9	8	41:34	48
5	Vanju Mare	30	12	9	9	34:26	45
6	CS Politehnica	30	13	5	12	42:35	44
7	Marmosim	30	14	2	14	52:38	44
8	Sebis	30	10	8	12	42:45	38
9	Albina	30	10	7	13	28:40	37
10	Progresul Gataia	30	10	7	13	36:49	37
11	Dacia Orastie	30	10	5	15	38:57	35
12	Calor Timisoara	30	10	5	15	36:42	35
13	Nuova	30	8	10	12	34:43	34
14	Sannicolau	30	9	7	14	32:52	34
15	Gloria Arad	30	9	6	15	39:45	33
16	CS Vulcan	30	8	4	18	25:48	28