Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Daegu vs Busan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 DGB Daegu Bank Park, Daegu
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Kim Min-jun In: Cesinha
Out: Kim Min-jun
46'
Sub
Kim Dae-Woo In: Ryu Jae-Moon
Out: Kim Dae-Woo
60'
Sub
Han Kook-Young In: Lee Rim
Out: Han Kook-Young

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Daegu and Busan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Daegu
20%
Draws
40%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Daegu's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Busan have produced (1.59).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Daegu Clean Sheet 20%
Busan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daegu Busan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 K League 2
Daegu vs Busan
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Daegu
3:1
Sep 13, 2020 K League 1
Daegu vs Busan
0:0
Jul 26, 2020 K League 1
Daegu vs Busan
3:0
Jun 17, 2020 K League 1
Busan vs Daegu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daegu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dackers M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristian Renato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daegu 31 / 100
Busan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daegu Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daegu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daegu found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Busan let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Daegu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Daegu VS Busan
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Daegu

(Home)
31 Oct
Daegu
2 : 2
Suwon Bluewings
24 Oct
Jeonnam
2 : 4
Daegu
17 Oct
Daegu
3 : 1
Cheongju
19 Sept
Seoul E-Land
2 : 1
Daegu
12 Sept
Daegu
3 : 1
Yongin FC
Page 1 of 6

Busan

(Away)
25 Oct
Busan
3 : 1
Gyeongnam
18 Oct
Busan
2 : 1
Jeonnam
10 Oct
Paju Frontier
1 : 1
Busan
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 29 19 6 4 50:25 63
2 Suwon FC 29 16 9 4 54:31 57
3 Seoul E-Land 29 16 6 7 54:36 54
4 Daegu 29 15 8 6 57:40 53
5 Busan 29 14 6 9 47:37 48
6 Hwaseong 30 12 9 9 44:33 45
7 Chungnam Asan 29 11 9 9 41:33 42
8 Gimpo FC 29 9 11 9 37:39 38
9 Gyeongnam 29 9 11 9 33:34 38
10 Paju Frontier 29 9 7 13 29:35 34
11 Yongin FC 29 7 12 10 38:43 33
12 Cheongju 30 6 14 10 36:49 32
13 Seongnam 29 7 11 11 32:39 32
14 Cheonan City 29 6 12 11 37:41 30
15 Jeonnam 29 5 10 14 35:52 25
16 Ansan Greeners 30 7 4 19 33:57 25
17 Gimhae 29 3 9 17 27:60 18
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)