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Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Yoo Sun-Woo
90'
Kim Jung-Joo

AI Match Summary

Pocheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Daejeon Korail
15%
Draws
48%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Daejeon Korail haven't matched Pocheon's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 16%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Pocheon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo Sun-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 31 / 100
Pocheon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daejeon Korail scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pocheon conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Daejeon Korail remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Pocheon
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon Korail

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)