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Daejeon vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kwon Sung-Yun In: Ahn Hyeok-Ju
Out: Kwon Sung-Yun
46'
Sub
Seo Jin-Su In: Kim Hyeon-Ug
Out: Seo Jin-Su
51'
Sub
Yu Je-Ho In: Ri Yong-jik
Out: Yu Je-Ho

AI Match Summary

Daejeon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Daejeon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Daejeon
35%
Draws
14%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Daejeon lately — more wins on the board than Gwangju FC.
  • Daejeon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.69 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gwangju FC
2:0
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
0:5
Aug 17, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gwangju FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ludwigson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Um Won-Sang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon 59 / 100
Gwangju FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Daejeon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Daejeon scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon VS Gwangju FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon

(Home)
09 Oct
Daejeon
2 : 1
Jeonbuk
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5
Seoul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)