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Daejeon vs Incheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Daejeon Logo

Daejeon

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Incheon Logo

Incheon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Daejeon host Incheon in the K League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Incheon have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Daejeon have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Daejeon slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Daejeon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Daejeon
30%
Draws
43%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Daejeon come out ahead of Incheon on wins alone.
  • Incheon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 18%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Incheon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:1
May 5, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Incheon
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 K League 1
Daejeon vs Incheon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon 20 / 100
Incheon 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daejeon scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Incheon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Daejeon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon VS Incheon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon

(Home)
03 Nov
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 0
Daejeon
31 Oct
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Daejeon
27 Oct
Daejeon
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
24 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 2
Daejeon
18 Oct
Daejeon
3 : 2
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 7

Incheon

(Away)
01 Nov
Seoul
0 : 1
Incheon
24 Oct
Incheon
3 : 1
Jeju SK
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 34 20 7 7 61:30 67
2 Ulsan Hyundai 34 16 6 12 54:48 54
3 Daejeon 34 13 11 10 53:41 50
4 Incheon 34 13 10 11 44:35 49
5 Jeonbuk 34 12 13 9 43:33 49
6 Gangwon 34 11 15 8 41:32 48
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)