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Daejeon vs Jeonbuk Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Daejeon host Jeonbuk in the K League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Daejeon at 1.6 goals for, 1.23 against; Jeonbuk at 1.3 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Jeonbuk slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.50, favoring Jeonbuk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Daejeon
35%
Draws
27%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Daejeon average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Jeonbuk's 1.3.
  • Daejeon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jeonbuk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 16%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Jeonbuk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Daejeon
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Jeonbuk
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super Cup
Jeonbuk vs Daejeon
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Daejeon
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Daejeon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon 48 / 100
Jeonbuk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Jeonbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Daejeon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Daejeon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Jeonbuk conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon VS Jeonbuk
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon

(Home)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

Jeonbuk

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)