Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagenham & Red. vs Bedford

England England

FA Cup Victoria Road, London
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dagenham & Red.
15%
Draws
36%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagenham & Red.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagenham & Red. come out ahead of Bedford on wins alone.
  • Dagenham & Red. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Dagenham & Red. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dagenham & Red., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 20%
Bedford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Bedford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 FA Cup
Dagenham & Red. vs Bedford
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Bedford vs Dagenham & Red.
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 40 / 100
Bedford 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagenham & Red. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bedford conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dagenham & Red. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Bedford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
08 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
0 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
28 Jul
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
21 Jul
Dagenham & Red.
5 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
18 Jul
Hashtag
1 : 2
Dagenham & Red.
14 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 2
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Bedford

(Away)
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0
Bedford
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0
Bedford
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
14 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Biggleswade FC
11 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Warrington Town 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Silsden 2
Bootle 4
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Racing Club Warwick 2
Evesham 5
Bromsgrove 2
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Atherton Rovers 5
Atherton Collieries 2
Avro 1
Nantwich 3
Trafford 2
Stockton 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 5
Abbey Hulton 4
Hanley Town 0
Stourbridge 2
Bourne 1
Shepshed 2
Stamford 1
Coventry Sphinx 0
Kendal 0
Dunston 1
Wombwell Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Corby 1
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 5
Atherstone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 5
Redcar Athletic 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Hallam 2
Ashton United 4
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Newcastle Blue Star 1
Heaton Stannington 0
TBD -
Marine -
Buxton -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Skegness Town 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Stalybridge 3
TBD -
Chester -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Hebburn Town 1
Longridge Town 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 4
Widnes FC -
FC Congleton Town -
TBD -
Chorley -
Ilkeston 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 3
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 1
Whitby 2
Matlock 4
Bottesford Town 1
Carlton Town 3
Cleethorpes 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redbridge 1
Royston Town 2
Brentwood 2
Leighton Town 1
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Eastwood Community FC 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 4
Stratford 1
Sudbury 4
Mildenhall 0
Aveley 3
Hashtag 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 3
Wythenshawe FC 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Rossington Main 0
United of Manchester 4
Bishop Auckland 1
Chadderton 3
Coleshill Town 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Hednesford 3
Basford Utd. 1
Billericay 4
Barton 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
St Ives Town 0
Morpeth 2
Pontefract Collieries 1
Witton Albion 6
Shildon 3
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Leek Town 0
TBD -
Worksop -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 5
TBD -
Bath City -
Burnham FC 0
Jersey Bulls 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Waltham Abbey 3
March Town 1
Gorleston 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Canvey Island 0
Stanway Rovers 2
Cockfosters 1
Soul Tower Hamlets 4
Ascot United 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Lewes 1
Bracknell Town 4
Dartford 2
Tadley Calleva 4
Weymouth 2
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Whitstable Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
AFC Stoneham 0
Tavistock 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Cray Wanderers 2
Hanwell Town 3
Bedfont Sports 4
Littlehampton 3
Uxbridge 1
Welling 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Enfield FC 3
Ilford 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Quorn 8
Sherwood Colliery 0
Long Eaton 1
Kettering 4
Winchester City 0
Fareham 1
Fairford 0
Sholing 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Epsom 2
Risborough Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Torpoint 3
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Sheppey United 0
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Folkestone 3
Sevenoaks 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Ashford Town 3
Whyteleafe 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Faversham 5
Hastings 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 5
Yate 4
TBD -
Oxford City -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chertsey Town 2
Thame United 1
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 2
Steyning Town 5
Lancing 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Raynes Park Vale 0
Ashford United 2
Chatham 4
Marlow 0
Deal Town 2
Cobham 0
Beckenham Town 2
Egham Town 3
Gosport Borough 2
Basingstoke 1
Didcot 2
Poole Town 3
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 4
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Needham Market 4
Tilbury 2
Eynesbury Rovers 3
Arlesey 1
Histon 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Lowestoft 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Real Bedford 1
Stortford 2
Boston Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 3
TBD -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cheshunt 1
Leiston 2
Knaphill 1
Hackney Wick 2
Worcester 3
Chasetown 4
Mangotsfield 0
Banbury 1
Brightlingsea 2
Bury Town 3
Newmarket 2
Woodford Town 3
Potters 2
Hitchin 4
Aylesbury Vale 1
St. Albans 3
Alvechurch 4
Barwell 2
TBD -
Leamington -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hertford Town 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 4
Three Bridges 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 3
Portchester 1
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Exmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Frome Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury -
TBD -
Hythe & Dibden 1
Laverstock & Ford 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
Carshalton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Wokingham Town FC 1
Burgess Hill 5
Erith Town 0
Farnham 3
Falmouth Town 0
Brixham 5
Slimbridge 0
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Quarter-finals
AFC Fylde 4
Bamber Bridge 1
Bootle 1
Darlington FC 3
Telford 3
Kidderminster 1
Racing Club Warwick 3
Evesham 4
Macclesfield 3
Atherton Rovers 0
Nantwich 3
Trafford 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Stourbridge 1
Shepshed 0
Stamford 2
Dunston 1
Stocksbridge 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ashton United 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Newcastle Blue Star 0
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Redditch 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 1
Chester 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Hebburn Town 1
South Shields 2
Guiseley 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Chorley 1
Spalding United 3
Alfreton 0
Bedford 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Whitby 0
Matlock 3
Carlton Town 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Brentwood 0
Chesham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 7
Sudbury 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 0
Spennymoor 1
United of Manchester 0
Chadderton 1
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 7
Billericay 3
Berkhamsted Town 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 3
Southport 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Worksop 2
Peterborough Sports 2
Hornchurch 1
Wimborne 2
Bath City 1
Jersey Bulls 2
Worthing FC 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Gorleston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Stanway Rovers 0
Soul Tower Hamlets 0
Flackwell Heath 2
Bracknell Town 2
Tadley Calleva 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Hanwell Town 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Welling 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield FC 0
Enfield Town 3
Quorn 2
Kettering 1
Fareham 0
Sholing 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 4
Torpoint 0
Hampton & Richmond 4
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Horsham FC 8
Folkestone 2
Maidstone 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Ashford Town 0
Maidenhead 0
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 3
Oxford City 2
Farnborough 4
Dover Ath. 1
Chertsey Town 2
Cray Valley 3
Steyning Town 3
Tonbridge 8
Ashford United 0
Chatham 3
Deal Town 2
Egham Town 1
Gosport Borough 0
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Needham Market 4
Eynesbury Rovers 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
FC Witham Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Stortford 1
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hereford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 4
Hackney Wick 1
Chasetown 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
Woodford Town 2
Hitchin 1
St. Albans 2
Alvechurch 3
Leamington 0
Chelmsford 6
Hertford Town 0
Whitehawk 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 2
Torquay 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 4
Laverstock & Ford 1
Dorking Wanderers 7
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Burgess Hill 1
Farnham 3
Brixham 1
Dorchester 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Semi-finals
AFC Fylde 3
Darlington FC 5
Telford 4
Evesham 1
Macclesfield 2
Nantwich 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stamford 1
Dunston 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Ashton United 2
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Morecambe -
TBD -
Chester 5
Curzon Ashton 1
South Shields 4
Chorley 1
Spalding United 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Hyde 1
Matlock 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
King’s Lynn 5
Halesowen 0
Aveley 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Spennymoor 3
Chadderton 0
Hednesford 0
Billericay 2
Morpeth 1
Southport 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Harborough 4
Peterborough Sports 1
Wimborne 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Flackwell Heath 4
Bracknell Town 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Hungerford 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield Town 5
Quorn 1
Sholing 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Folkestone 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
Westbury United 0
Farnborough 1
Cray Valley 0
Tonbridge 5
Chatham 3
Deal Town 1
Poole Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Needham Market 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 5
Hereford 2
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 0
Banbury 3
Woodford Town 0
St. Albans 1
Alvechurch 1
Chelmsford 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Frome Town 2
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 3
Dorking Wanderers 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Farnham 3
Dorchester 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Final
Darlington FC 0
Telford 6
Macclesfield 1
Stamford 0
Gainsborough 4
Hartlepool 2
Carlisle 5
Boston United 2
Rochdale 1
York City 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
Buxton 1
Morecambe 1
Chester 3
South Shields 4
Spalding United 0
Tamworth 1
Hyde 0
Scunthorpe 4
King’s Lynn 2
Aveley 0
Gateshead 3
Spennymoor 1
Billericay 0
Southport 1
Halifax 3
Altrincham 5
Harborough 2
Worthing FC 1
Forest Green 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Woking 3
Brackley 7
Wealdstone 5
Whitstable Town 1
Slough Town 3
Enfield Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Eastleigh 2
Southend 4
Folkestone 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Solihull Moors 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Chatham 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Needham Market 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Yeovil 1
Banbury 1
St. Albans 2
Chelmsford 4
Chippenham Town 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
Aldershot 3
Farnham 5
Sutton 6