Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagenham & Red. vs Dover Ath.

England England

National League South Victoria Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bates J.

AI Match Summary

Dover Ath. in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dover Ath..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dagenham & Red.
30%
Draws
47%
Dover Ath.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dagenham & Red. lately — more wins on the board than Dover Ath..
  • Dagenham & Red. are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 17%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Dover Ath.
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Jan 20, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Dover Ath.
2:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Dagenham & Red.
2:2
Jan 2, 2022 National League
Dagenham & Red. vs Dover Ath.
3:1
Dec 26, 2021 National League
Dover Ath. vs Dagenham & Red.
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 36 / 100
Dover Ath. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Dover Ath.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dover Ath.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Dagenham & Red. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dagenham & Red. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Dover Ath.
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
31 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Slough Town
Page 1 of 6

Dover Ath.

(Away)
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)