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Dagenham & Red. vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dagenham & Red. host Hemel Hempstead in the National League South. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Dagenham & Red. at 1.37 goals for, 1.23 against; Hemel Hempstead at 1.21 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Dagenham & Red. have won 3 to Hemel Hempstead's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.88) point toward Dagenham & Red.. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dagenham & Red.
35%
Draws
30%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagenham & Red. come out ahead of Hemel Hempstead on wins alone.
  • Dagenham & Red. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dagenham & Red. have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Dagenham & Red.
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Hemel Hempstead vs Dagenham & Red.
0:3
Jul 28, 2018 Club Friendly
Hemel Hempstead vs Dagenham & Red.
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 42 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagenham & Red. scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hemel Hempstead let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Dagenham & Red. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Hemel Hempstead
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
03 Oct
Brentwood
3 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)