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Dagon vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
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Match Events

15' Event
Zaw T.
90' Event
Htwe Yan Kyaw

AI Match Summary

Dagon in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dagon
30%
Draws
12%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon have won more games recently than Hantharwady United.
  • Win probability leans Dagon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dagon Clean Sheet 20%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Hantharwady United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Hantharwady United
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Hantharwady United
3:0
Dec 25, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon
1:3
Jan 21, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Hantharwady United
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Htwe Yan Kyaw
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hantharwady United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 85 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Hantharwady United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dagon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Hantharwady United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
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Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)