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Dagon vs Thitsar Arman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

Dagon host Thitsar Arman in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Thitsar Arman have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Dagon have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.3. Head-to-head, Dagon have won 3 to Thitsar Arman's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Dagon. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dagon
35%
Draws
34%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Dagon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dagon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dagon Clean Sheet 15%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.3 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Thitsar Arman
2:0
Jan 27, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Thitsar Arman
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 31 / 100
Thitsar Arman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Thitsar Arman let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Dagon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Thitsar Arman
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
09 Oct
Ispe
2 : 2
Dagon
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
Page 1 of 7

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
10 Oct
Ayeyawady
1 : 3
Thitsar Arman
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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