Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagon vs Yadanarbon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dagon host Yadanarbon in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Yadanarbon have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Dagon have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.3. Head-to-head, Dagon have won 1 to Yadanarbon's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.00, favoring Dagon. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dagon
30%
Draws
33%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Yadanarbon haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • Dagon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dagon Clean Sheet 20%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Yadanarbon
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Yadanarbon
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
2:2
May 17, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
4:2
Aug 24, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Yadanarbon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 40 / 100
Yadanarbon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagon found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Yadanarbon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Dagon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Yadanarbon
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
09 Oct
Ispe
2 : 2
Dagon
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
Page 1 of 7

Yadanarbon

(Away)
10 Oct
Myawady
0 : 2
Yadanarbon
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)