Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs FK Atmosfera

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Dainava Alytus Logo

Dainava Alytus

1 - 1
FT
FK Atmosfera Logo

FK Atmosfera

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
40' Event
Cepononis P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dainava Alytus
30%
Draws
19%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dainava Alytus average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of FK Atmosfera's 1.62.
  • Dainava Alytus are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dainava Alytus have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 20%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Dainava Alytus
0:2
Sep 30, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Atmosfera
5:0
May 28, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Dainava Alytus
0:3
Jun 30, 2020 Lithuanian Cup
Dainava Alytus vs FK Atmosfera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepononis P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Atmosfera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 58 / 100
FK Atmosfera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dainava Alytus stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

FK Atmosfera has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS FK Atmosfera
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
02 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Jul
Dainava Alytus
3 : 1
Transinvest 2
27 Jun
Dainava Alytus
1 : 0
Neptunas
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FK Atmosfera

(Away)
14 Aug
Transinvest 2
2 : 0
FK Atmosfera
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
Siauliai 2
01 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
01 Jul
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 21 16 4 1 37:7 52
2 FK Minija 20 17 1 2 53:11 52
3 Tauras Taurage 21 12 3 6 37:23 39
4 Neptunas 20 12 2 6 27:24 38
5 BE1 NFA 20 12 2 6 33:24 38
6 Dainava Alytus 19 10 5 4 32:18 35
7 BFA Vilnius 20 10 2 8 29:29 32
8 Zalgiris 2 20 9 4 7 31:28 31
9 FK Atmosfera 19 7 4 8 29:24 25
10 Jonava 21 6 5 10 24:27 23
11 Garliava 20 6 4 10 23:22 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 21 6 1 14 24:47 19
13 Transinvest 2 20 5 3 12 20:46 18
14 Siauliai 2 21 3 5 13 19:45 14
15 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 20 4 1 15 15:34 13
16 Ekranas 21 3 2 16 21:45 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)