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Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs FK Minija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kasparavicius J.
72' Event
Komissarov N.
77' Event
Nwegbo D.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dainava Alytus
20%
Draws
60%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • FK Minija have won more games recently than Dainava Alytus.
  • Model gives FK Minija a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus FK Minija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 27
Draws 8 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.67 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Minija
0:3
Sep 1, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
3:2
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
3:1
Aug 28, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Minija
5:1
Apr 16, 2022 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Komissarov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 10 / 100
FK Minija 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dainava Alytus's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dainava Alytus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FK Minija has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS FK Minija
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
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FK Minija

(Away)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)