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Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mendes K. A.
Own Goal
16' Event
Sinkevicius D.
58' Event
Sinkevicius D.

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dainava Alytus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dainava Alytus
15%
Draws
51%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dainava Alytus lately — more wins on the board than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.66 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Dainava Alytus
0:1
May 15, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellah C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faye C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinkevicius D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 41 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Dainava Alytus found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Hegelmann Litauen 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
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Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)