Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mendes K. A.
Own Goal
16' Event
Sinkevicius D.
58' Event
Sinkevicius D.

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dainava Alytus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dainava Alytus
6%
Draws
4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dainava Alytus lately — more wins on the board than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dainava Alytus taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellah C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faye C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinkevicius D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 95 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Dainava Alytus remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dainava Alytus found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
27 Jun
Dainava Alytus
1 : 0
Neptunas
24 Jun
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1
Transinvest
21 Jun
Dainava Alytus
5 : 0
Siauliai 2
12 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
Dainava Alytus
08 Jun
Dainava Alytus
1 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
12 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
30 May
Tauras Taurage
6 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1591520:1728
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)