Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2019

Kupiskis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus play Kupiskis in the I Lyga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dainava Alytus averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Kupiskis averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Dainava Alytus won 3, Kupiskis won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Dainava Alytus and 1.44 for Kupiskis. This points to a Dainava Alytus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Dainava Alytus

15%

Draws

38%

Kupiskis

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Dainava Alytus picked up more points recently compared to Kupiskis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 16%

Kupiskis Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dainava Alytus	Kupiskis
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	12	10
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 I Lyga

Dainava Alytus vs Kupiskis

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Jun 23, 2019 I Lyga

Kupiskis vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Oct 20, 2018 I Lyga

Dainava Alytus vs Kupiskis

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

6:0

Jun 20, 2018 I Lyga

Kupiskis vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciukaitis A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Caracas Balanta L. J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Kupiskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Puze I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 46 / 100

Kupiskis 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dainava Alytus Kupiskis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dainava Alytus or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dainava Alytus attacking → ← attacking Kupiskis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dainava Alytus scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Kupiskis let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Dainava Alytus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kupiskis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 36

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dziugas Telsiai	28	19	4	5	58:23	61
2	Banga	28	17	5	6	57:24	56
3	Vilniaus Vytis	28	17	4	7	74:31	55
4	Dainava Alytus	28	17	2	9	64:32	53
5	Nevezis Kedainiai	28	16	4	8	66:37	52
6	FA Siauliai	28	14	5	9	61:37	47
7	FC Hegelmann	28	12	8	8	57:42	44
8	FK Minija	28	12	5	11	54:49	41
9	Jonava	28	12	4	12	55:46	40
10	Kupiskis	28	10	6	12	49:56	36
11	BFA Vilnius	28	10	3	15	56:53	33
12	Riteriai 2	28	9	5	14	61:49	32
13	Zalgiris 2	28	6	4	18	43:83	22
14	FK Atmosfera	28	3	4	21	23:96	13
15	FC Pakruojis	28	3	3	22	25:145	12
16	FC Stumbras 2	0	0	0	0	0:0	0