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Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Short L.
Assist: Anderson I.
25' Event
Anderson I.
Assist: Bell L.
28' Event
Chapman T.
Assist: Anderson I.

AI Match Summary

Gretna 2008 in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gretna 2008.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dalbeattie Star
15%
Draws
85%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gretna 2008 lately — more wins on the board than Dalbeattie Star.
  • Model gives Gretna 2008 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gretna 2008 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dalbeattie Star Gretna 2008
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 0 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.79 1.58
Goals Conceded 4.17 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008
1:5
Dec 31, 2022 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Dalbeattie Star
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008
0:3
Jan 3, 2022 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Dalbeattie Star
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalbeattie Star Compare

Top Goalscorer McConnell D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Gretna 2008 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapman T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Short L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
Gretna 2008 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dalbeattie Star Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dalbeattie Star found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Gretna 2008 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dalbeattie Star VS Gretna 2008
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Dalbeattie Star

(Home)
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Gretna 2008

(Away)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)