Sport Picks

China

FA Cup 2025 Dalian Sports Center Stadium

Dalian Kun City

Wed, May 21, 2025

2 - 1

11:00 AM

Changchun Yatai

Our Tip

Match Events

48'

Zhu Shiyu

65'

Tan Long

Zhao Shuhao

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2025 game between Dalian Kun City and Changchun Yatai finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dalian Kun City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Dalian Kun City

40%

Draws

29%

Changchun Yatai

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dalian Kun City come out ahead of Changchun Yatai on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Dalian Kun City Clean Sheet 14%

Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dalian Kun City	Changchun Yatai
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	8
Draws	9	6
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 League One

Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Kun City

Possession: 40% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

May 21, 2025 FA Cup

Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalian Kun City Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Shiyu

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalian Kun City 31 / 100

Changchun Yatai 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dalian Kun City Changchun Yatai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Changchun Yatai conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Dalian Kun City scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dalian Kun City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dalian Kun City VS Changchun Yatai

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Quanzhou Yassin2

Wenzhou Professional3

TBD-

Dalian Kun City-

TBD-

Changchun Yatai-

Shenzhen Jixiang1

Guangxi Lanhang0

TBD-

Yanbian Longding-

TBD-

Qingdao West Coast-

Ningbo Fioren0

Guangdong Mingtu2

TBD-

Shenzhen Juniors-

TBD-

Dalian Yingbo-

Qingdao May Wind1

Taian Tiankuang5

TBD-

Shijiazhuang Gongfu-

TBD-

Beijing Guoan-

Wuhan Lianzhen0

Shenzhen 20281

TBD-

Shaanxi Union-

TBD-

Wuhan Three Towns-

Shanghai Segenda1

Kunming City Star0

TBD-

Dingnan Ganlian-

TBD-

Yunnan Yukun-

Chongqing Chunlei1

Beijing Technology0

TBD-

Guangdong GZ-Power-

TBD-

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-

Guangdong Shudihong0

Guizhou Guiyang4

TBD-

Foshan Nanshi-

TBD-

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1

TBD-

Liaoning Tieren-

TBD-

Qingdao Hainiu-

Changchun Xidu0

Guangxi Hengchen1

TBD-

Shanghai Jiading Huilong-

TBD-

Meizhou Hakka-

Xiamen Chengyi0

Jiangxi Lushan3

TBD-

Qingdao Red Lions-

TBD-

Shandong Taishan-

Shanghai Changning0

Nantong Haimen3

TBD-

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao-

TBD-

Chengdu Rongcheng-

Quanzhou Qinggong1

Hangzhou Linping0

TBD-

Suzhou Dongwu-

TBD-

Shanghai Port-

Shanghai Zetian0

Wuxi Wugou2

TBD-

Nantong Zhiyun-

TBD-

Shanghai Shenhua-

Shaanxi Northwest4

Ganzhou Ruishi1

TBD-

Chongqing Tonglianglong-

TBD-

Henan Songshan Longmen-

Guangzhou Dandelion3

Hubei Istar2

TBD-

Nanjing City-

TBD-

Zhejiang Professional-

1/32-finals

Wenzhou Professional0

Dalian Kun City3

TBD-

Changchun Yatai-

Shenzhen Jixiang0

Yanbian Longding1

TBD-

Qingdao West Coast-

Guangdong Mingtu2

Shenzhen Juniors3

TBD-

Dalian Yingbo-

Taian Tiankuang0

Shijiazhuang Gongfu2

TBD-

Beijing Guoan-

Shenzhen 20280

Shaanxi Union4

TBD-

Wuhan Three Towns-

Shanghai Segenda0

Dingnan Ganlian2

TBD-

Yunnan Yukun-

Chongqing Chunlei1

Guangdong GZ-Power2

TBD-

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-

Guizhou Guiyang2

Foshan Nanshi1

TBD-

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0

Liaoning Tieren2

TBD-

Qingdao Hainiu-

Guangxi Hengchen2

Shanghai Jiading Huilong1

TBD-

Meizhou Hakka-

Jiangxi Lushan0

Qingdao Red Lions1

TBD-

Shandong Taishan-

Nantong Haimen0

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1

TBD-

Chengdu Rongcheng-

Quanzhou Qinggong0

Suzhou Dongwu4

TBD-

Shanghai Port-

Wuxi Wugou2

Nantong Zhiyun0

TBD-

Shanghai Shenhua-

Shaanxi Northwest0

Chongqing Tonglianglong1

TBD-

Henan Songshan Longmen-

Guangzhou Dandelion1

Nanjing City0

TBD-

Zhejiang Professional-

1/16-finals

Dalian Kun City2

Changchun Yatai1

Yanbian Longding0

Qingdao West Coast2

Shenzhen Juniors1

Dalian Yingbo5

Shijiazhuang Gongfu0

Beijing Guoan5

Shaanxi Union2

Wuhan Three Towns1

Dingnan Ganlian1

Yunnan Yukun2

Guangdong GZ-Power3

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2

Guizhou Guiyang0

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1

Liaoning Tieren0

Qingdao Hainiu1

Guangxi Hengchen2

Meizhou Hakka1

Qingdao Red Lions0

Shandong Taishan5

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao0

Chengdu Rongcheng3

Suzhou Dongwu2

Shanghai Port6

Wuxi Wugou0

Shanghai Shenhua3

Chongqing Tonglianglong1

Henan Songshan Longmen2

Guangzhou Dandelion0

Zhejiang Professional1

1/8-finals

Dalian Kun City0

Qingdao West Coast2

Dalian Yingbo1

Beijing Guoan2

Shaanxi Union1

Yunnan Yukun2

Guangdong GZ-Power2

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0

Qingdao Hainiu2

Guangxi Hengchen1

Shandong Taishan1

Chengdu Rongcheng3

Shanghai Port2

Shanghai Shenhua3

Henan Songshan Longmen3

Zhejiang Professional2

Quarter-finals

Qingdao West Coast2

Beijing Guoan3

Yunnan Yukun3

Guangdong GZ-Power0

Qingdao Hainiu1

Chengdu Rongcheng2

Shanghai Shenhua3

Henan Songshan Longmen4

Semi-finals

Beijing Guoan7

Yunnan Yukun0

Chengdu Rongcheng0

Henan Songshan Longmen1

Final

Beijing Guoan3

Henan Songshan Longmen0