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Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dallas Trinity W host Lexington W in the USL Super League Women. This one's hard to separate. Dallas Trinity W have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Lexington W's 1.67 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Dallas Trinity W have won 1 to Lexington W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Lexington W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dallas Trinity W
20%
Draws
40%
Lexington W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lexington W lately — more wins on the board than Dallas Trinity W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 13%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dallas Trinity W Lexington W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
3:0
May 23, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dallas Trinity W 31 / 100
Lexington W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dallas Trinity W Lexington W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dallas Trinity W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lexington W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Dallas Trinity W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dallas Trinity W VS Lexington W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dallas Trinity W

(Home)
17 Oct
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
10 Oct
Brooklyn W
1 : 1
Dallas Trinity W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
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Lexington W

(Away)
17 Oct
Lexington W
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
11 Oct
Fort Lauderdale United W
2 : 1
Lexington W
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
2 Sporting Jax W 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
3 Lexington W 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Dallas Trinity W 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 DC Power W 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
7 Brooklyn W 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 9 2 0 7 7:16 6
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)