Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damac vs Al Riyadh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Okita J.
Assist: Harkass J.
40'
Al Hawsawi S.
45'
Lekhal V.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Damac and Al Riyadh finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Damac
35%
Draws
32%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Damac have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Al Riyadh are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Model gives Damac a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Damac Clean Sheet 68%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Riyadh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Riyadh
3:0
Nov 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Damac
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Damac
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Riyadh
2:2
Dec 28, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Damac
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Okita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vada V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Riyadh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 95 / 100
Al Riyadh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Damac went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Damac's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Riyadh
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 7

Al Riyadh

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)