Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Brownhill J.
18'
18'
Hamdallah A.
Assist: Brownhill J.
26'
26'
Sylla M.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Damac and Al Shabab finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shabab.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Shabab come out ahead of Damac on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Damac's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Damac Clean Sheet 68%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Damac | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Shabab
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Damac
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Damac
2:0
Oct 4, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Shabab
1:0
Feb 16, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Shabab
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Damac Compare
Top Goalscorer Vada V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Al Shabab Compare
Top Goalscorer Hamdallah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Balobaid S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Damac 68 / 100
Al Shabab 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Damac Al Shabab
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Damac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Shabab let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Damac has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Damac scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Damac VS Al Shabab
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Damac
(Home) 20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2 Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2 Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1 Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2 Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0 Al Orubah
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20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2 Al Adalah
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1 Al-Ula
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0 Al Orubah
19 Aug
Damac
0 : 3 Al Taawon
15 May
Damac
3 : 0 Al Fayha
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Al Shabab
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
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09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
22 Aug
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Shabab
16 Aug
Al Wehda
3 : 2 Al Shabab
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
